Sympathetic nervous activation, mitochondrial dysfunction and outcome in acutely decompensated cirrhosis: the metabolomic prognostic models (CLIF-C MET).

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Current prognostic scores of patients with acutely decompensated cirrhosis (AD), particularly those with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF), underestimate the risk of mortality. This is probably because systemic inflammation (SI), the major driver of AD/ACLF, is not reflected in the scores. SI induces metabolic changes, which impair delivery of the necessary energy for the immune reaction. This investigation aimed to identify metabolites associated with short-term (28-day) death and to design metabolomic prognostic models. METHODS: Two prospective multicentre large cohorts from Europe for investigating ACLF and development of ACLF, CANONIC (discovery, n=831) and PREDICT (validation, n=851), were explored by untargeted serum metabolomics to identify and validate metabolites which could allow improved prognostic modelling. RESULTS: Three prognostic metabolites strongly associated with death were selected to build the models. 4-Hydroxy-3-methoxyphenylglycol sulfate is a norepinephrine derivative, which may be derived from the brainstem response to SI. Additionally, galacturonic acid and hexanoylcarnitine are associated with mitochondrial dysfunction. Model 1 included only these three prognostic metabolites and age. Model 2 was built around 4-hydroxy-3-methoxyphenylglycol sulfate, hexanoylcarnitine, bilirubin, international normalised ratio (INR) and age. In the discovery cohort, both models were more accurate in predicting death within 7, 14 and 28 days after admission compared with MELDNa score (C-index: 0.9267, 0.9002 and 0.8424, and 0.9369, 0.9206 and 0.8529, with model 1 and model 2, respectively). Similar results were found in the validation cohort (C-index: 0.940, 0.834 and 0.791, and 0.947, 0.857 and 0.810, with model 1 and model 2, respectively). Also, in ACLF, model 1 and model 2 outperformed MELDNa 7, 14 and 28 days after admission for prediction of mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Models including metabolites (CLIF-C MET) reflecting SI, mitochondrial dysfunction and sympathetic system activation are better predictors of short-term mortality than scores based only on organ dysfunction (eg, MELDNa), especially in patients with ACLF.

Risk of further decompensation/mortality in patients with cirrhosis and ascites as the first single decompensation event.

Background & Aims: Although ascites is the most frequent first decompensating event in cirrhosis, the clinical course after ascites as the single index decompensation is not well defined. The aim of this multicentre study was thus to systematically investigate the incidence and type of further decompensation after ascites as the first decompensating event and to assess risk factors for mortality. Methods: A total of 622 patients with cirrhosis presenting with grade 2/3 ascites as the single index decompensating event at 2 university hospitals (Padova and Vienna) between 2003 and 2021 were included. Events of further decompensation, liver transplantation, and death were recorded. Results: The mean age was 57 ± 11 years, and most patients were male (n = 423, 68%) with alcohol-related (n = 366, 59%) and viral (n = 200,32%) liver disease as the main aetiologies. In total, 323 (52%) patients presented with grade 2 and 299 (48%) with grade 3 ascites. The median Child-Pugh score at presentation was 8 (IQR 7-9), and the mean model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) was 15 ± 6. During a median follow-up period of 49 months, 350 (56%) patients experienced further decompensation: refractory ascites (n = 130, 21%), hepatic encephalopathy (n = 112, 18%), spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (n = 32, 5%), hepatorenal syndrome-acute kidney injury (n = 29, 5%). Variceal bleeding as an isolated further decompensation event was rare (n = 18, 3%), whereas non-bleeding further decompensation (n = 161, 26%) and ≥2 concomitant further decompensation events (n = 171, 27%) were frequent. Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt was used in only 81 (13%) patients. In patients presenting with grade 2 ascites, MELD ≥15 indicated a considerable risk for further decompensation (subdistribution hazard ratio [SHR] 2.18; p <0.001; 1-year incidences: <10: 10% vs. 10-14: 13% vs. ≥15: 28%) and of mortality (SHR 1.89; p = 0.004; 1-year incidences: <10: 3% vs. 10-14: 6% vs. ≥15: 14%). Importantly, mortality was similarly high throughout MELD strata in grade 3 ascites (p = n.s. for different MELD strata; 1-year incidences: <10: 14% vs. 10-14: 15% vs. ≥15: 20%). Conclusions: Further decompensation is frequent in patients with ascites as a single index decompensation event and only rarely owing to bleeding. Although patients with grade 2 ascites and MELD <15 seem to have a favourable prognosis, those with grade 3 ascites are at a high risk of mortality across all MELD strata. Lay summary: Decompensation (the development of symptoms as a result of worsening liver function) marks a turning point in the disease course for patients with cirrhosis. Ascites (i.e. , the accumulation of fluid in the abdomen) is the most common first decompensating event, yet little is known about the clinical course of patients who develop ascites as a single first decompensating event. Herein, we show that the severity of ascites is associated with mortality and that in patients with moderate ascites, the widely used prognostic MELD score can predict patient outcomes.

Natural history of acute kidney disease in patients with cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: In 2012, the KDIGO group proposed new definitions for acute kidney injury (AKI), acute kidney disease (AKD) and chronic kidney disease (CKD). According to the definition adapted by the International Club of Ascites, AKI has been extensively investigated in patients with cirrhosis. On the contrary, there are currently no data on the epidemiology and clinical outcomes associated with AKD. The aim of the study was to assess the prevalence and the impact of AKD on the clinical course and survival of patients with cirrhosis. METHODS: A total of 272 consecutive patients with cirrhosis attending our outpatient clinic were included in the study. Clinical and laboratory data were collected at inclusion. Patients were followed-up until death, liver transplant or the end of follow-up. RESULTS: During follow-up, 80 patients developed AKD (29.4%). Forty-two (52.5%) recovered from the first episode of AKD and 26 maintained a normal renal function up to the end of follow-up. Sixteen patients developed a second episode of AKD. Globally, 36 patients (45.0%) died with AKD. Finally, AKD progressed to CKD in 11 patients (13.8%). The 5-year survival rate was significantly lower in patients who developed AKD than in those who did not (34.8% vs. 88.8%, p <0.001). The 5-year rates of complications of cirrhosis and of hospitalizations were also higher in patients with AKD than in those without AKD. CONCLUSIONS: AKD is frequent in patients with cirrhosis. It can be reversible, but it may recur and progress to CKD. AKD has a very negative impact on morbidity and mortality in patients with cirrhosis. LAY SUMMARY: Renal impairment has a very negative impact on patients with cirrhosis. Renal impairment seems to be characterized by a very dynamic course, which is defined according to renal function and length of the impairment as acute kidney injury, acute kidney disease and chronic kidney disease. The role of acute kidney disease is currently unknown. Our study shows for the first time that acute kidney disease is frequent in patients with cirrhosis and has a very negative impact on survival.

Acute kidney injury in cirrhotic patients undergoing contrast-enhanced computed tomography.

Contrast medium administration is one of the leading causes of acute kidney injury (AKI) in different clinical settings. The aim of the study was to investigate occurrence and predisposing factors of AKI in cirrhotic patients undergoing contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CECT).Datasets of 1279 consecutively hospitalized cirrhotic patients were retrospectively analyzed. Two hundred forty-nine of 1279 patients (mean age 64 ±â€Š11 years, 165 male) who had undergone CECT were selected on the basis of the availability of serum creatinine (sCr) values evaluated before and after CECT (CECT group). In analogy, 203/1279 cases (mean age 66 ±â€Š10 years, 132 male) who had not undergone CECT and had been tested twice for sCr in 7 days were also included as controls (Control group). AKI network criteria were employed to assess contrast-induced AKI (CI-AKI) development. Apart from lack of narrowed double sCr measurements, additional exclusion criteria were active bacterial infections, nephrotoxic drugs intake, and estimated glomerular filtration rate <30 mL/min.AKI developed in 22/249 (8.8%) and in 6/203 (3%) of the CECT and the Control groups, respectively (P = 0.01). The multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that AKI was significantly associated with contrast medium administration (odds ratio [OR]: 3.242, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.255-8.375; P = 0.015), female sex (OR: 0.339, 95% CI: 0.139-0.827; P = 0.017), and sCr values (OR: 0.124, 95% CI: 0.016-0.975; P = 0.047). In the CECT group, presence of ascites (OR: 2.796, 95% CI: 1.109-7.052; P = 0.029), female sex (OR: 0.192, 95% CI: 0.073-0.510; P = 0.001), and hyperazotemia (OR: 1.018, 95% CI: 1.001-1.037; P = 0.043) correlated with CI-AKI development at multivariate analysis.CI-AKI is a quite frequent occurrence in cirrhotic patients with female sex, presence of ascites, and hyperazotemia being the predisposing factors.